Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 58.793023 66.895340 75.233621 84.422617 94.232567 104.361619 115.580446
2025-07-06 44.686463 55.973060 68.194578 82.271483 97.905582 114.616680 133.712235
2025-07-13 39.312934 52.702828 67.715152 85.507254 105.753775 127.840869 153.530410
2025-07-20 34.593465 49.409104 66.553424 87.383516 111.576268 138.411097 170.065782
2025-07-27 29.668234 45.241669 63.845972 86.999959 114.411540 145.282333 182.159910
2025-08-03 25.408762 41.407936 61.132065 86.247077 116.509864 151.061382 192.798352
2025-08-10 22.397679 38.837950 59.695376 86.791509 119.937652 158.217045 204.883243
2025-08-17 19.323344 35.858485 57.486895 86.170019 121.791891 163.396336 214.568930
2025-08-24 16.996184 33.663866 56.098018 86.409421 124.558805 169.552256 225.315486
2025-08-31 14.533497 31.009719 53.901994 85.456961 125.730144 173.708319 233.632179
2025-09-07 13.090142 29.723320 53.439329 86.648660 129.492172 180.923494 245.534205
2025-09-14 11.889866 28.685557 53.229994 88.103466 133.535898 188.449568 257.791636
2025-09-21 10.124101 26.561207 51.389627 87.341541 134.766843 192.585177 266.065957
2025-09-28 8.217457 23.941304 48.658735 85.244138 134.190447 194.437689 271.548671
2025-10-05 7.849567 24.010681 49.876546 88.530760 140.558653 204.859610 287.403916
2025-10-12 7.196599 23.470534 50.127327 90.447756 145.128320 213.047269 300.554585
2025-10-19 6.113334 21.949597 48.778083 90.056006 146.622720 217.369599 308.974567
2025-10-26 5.085802 20.365946 47.221240 89.287906 147.559389 220.950655 316.457499
2025-11-02 4.414075 19.424060 46.622239 89.843386 150.223992 226.687718 326.579468
2025-11-09 3.628028 18.065648 45.249696 89.209271 151.245473 230.312864 334.075970
2025-11-16 3.066851 17.124738 44.507607 89.453541 153.421491 235.387090 343.356370
2025-11-23 2.419870 15.788381 42.993546 88.481677 153.893394 238.249783 349.866519
2025-11-30 2.109884 15.310439 42.947825 89.697640 157.353044 244.946235 361.160765